MATH 843 (01) - Time Series Analysis

An introduction to univariate time series models and associated methods of data analysis and inference in the time domain and frequency domain. Topics include: Auto regressive (AR), moving average (MA), ARMA and ARIMA processes, stationary and non-stationary processes, seasonal ARIMA processes, auto-correlation and partial auto-correlation functions, identification of models, estimation of parameters, diagnostic checking of fitted models, forecasting, spectral density function, periodogram and discrete Fourier transform, linear filters. parametric spectral estimation, dynamic Fourier analysis. Additional topics may include wavelets and long memory processes (FARIMA) and GARCH Models. The use of statistical software, such as JMP, or R, is fully integrated in to the course. Offered in alternate years in the spring.